It is Sunday morning here in the United States and what better to curb our hangovers than a free UFC card from Sweden. It’s time to kick out last nights swamp creature, wash off the regret, grab a beer, and fire in some bets to make this the Sunday you dreamed of all week long.
Abdul Razak Alhassan (-250) vs. Omari Akhmedov (+195): First off, good luck to the commentators with these two names. Alhassan versus Akhmedov at welterwight promises to deliver some fire works. By fireworks, I mean Alhassan will likely knock Akhmedov’s head into the sky within the first round. Alhassan is a killing machine with all of his fights ending by KO/TKO, the longest fight lasting until 1:26 of round 1. If by chance this fight makes it to the second round Alhassan may not know what to do with himself, but I just don’t see that happening.
The Picks: Alhassan (-250), Under 1.5 total rounds (-190).
Peter Sobotta (-120) vs. Ben Saunders (-110): Another interesting fight at welterweight, but this bout is much closer on paper than the preceding. This fight could surely go either way and both fighters look very good in their last 5, each 4-1. The deciding factor here is who those wins have come against. In my opinion Saunders has been fighting at a much higher level of competition. Look for “Killa B” to stop this one late in round 2 or 3 when those “killa knees” start finding a home on Sobottas face.
The Pick: Saunders (-110)
Volkan Oezdemir (+325) vs. Misha Cirkunov (-450): In a pivotal light heavyweight matchup we see rising prospects Volkan Oezdemir and Misha Cirkunov squaring off. Vegas does not see this fight being very close, and likely it will not be. Cirkunov has been a finishing machine will stoppages in his last 5, with 4 of those via submission. I will not allow myself to take a -450 favorite and neither should you. Cirkunov likely wins this bout but Oezdemir is no scrub and very durable. Cirkunov may dominate this fight but his streak of finishes inside the distance will end here.
The Picks: Over 1.5 total rounds (-120), Yes – the fight goes the distance (+225)
Alexander Gustaffson (-300) vs. Glover Teixeira (+230): The closer we get to the fight, the more hesitant I am becoming regarding the outcome. Gustaffson has far more talent than the 37 year old Teixeira still possesses. The skills Gus possesses should dominate this fight in every aspect, but something about a fighter losing 3 of his last 5, even if they were to elite fighters, scares me. Add into this Glover surely had KO power and the knot in my stomach grows. With all of that said, I have to trust the talent here and Gus is just that, an elite talent. Look for him to punish Teixeira for 5 long rounds in a dominant win.
The Pick: Gustaffson (-300) (help me God, don’t be wrong on this one).
As always, your welcome.