As I’m making my picks for UFC 213, I’m starting to realize just how impacting the cancellation of Lawler vs. Cerrone was to this card. This card went from a can’t miss and must buy card to a try to illegally stream or watch at a bar card. I’m excited for four of the five main card fights, but of those four only three really have an impact on their division. Overall though, this is better than anything put together in the month of June for the UFC so I’ll take it. Your money makers are below.
Amanda Nunes (-110) vs. Valentina Schevchenko (-110)
Just like the betting line, this is a pretty even fight in my mind. I see Schevchenko winning this fight by unanimous decision. I don’t think Nunes will overwhelm her with her striking and I think Shevchenko is the more complete fighter. Congrats to Kyrgyzstan on their new champion, Borat would be proud.
Robert Whittaker (-115) vs. Yoel Romero (+105)
I’ve said this before, it is extremely hard for me to predict anything but a win for Romero. Not only is he well rounded in the fight game, but he’s also a freak athlete. I’m honestly not sure how payouts work for fights that are initially ruled a win but then overturned to a no contest, so I would review that before placing your wager. I see Yoel winning here by devastating fashion in the 2nd round and then it getting overturned to a NC. *Author’s Note: Devastating fashion is considered to be a thunderous punch, knee, body slam, chair, pole, or any other illegal object being used to knock your opponent out.*
Daniel Omielanczuk (+560) vs. Curtis Blaydes (-820)
This is the fight they chose to replace Lawler vs. Cerrone? This is how you ruin a great card. I got Omielanczuk with the big upset just by looking at their pictures.
Fabricio Werdum (+110) vs. Alistair Overeem (-130)
I’m sticking with my prediction of Overeem in this one. Werdum’s only advantage is from his back and I just don’t see Overeem being stupid enough to go to the ground with Werdum even after landing heavy strikes. Overeem via TKO round 1 by Uberknee.
Jim Miller (+205) vs. Anthony Pettis (-245)
Miller is such a solid fighter and he’s so well rounded it’s tough for me to find an actual advantage for Pettis in this one. Unfortunately, this is likely going to be Showtime’s last time in the UFC octagon. Miller by split decision. The winner of this fight will receive PON bonus as well.
Travis Browne (-220) vs. Aleksei Oleinik (+180)
The fact that brown switched camps from Edmond Tarverdyan to Black House shows that he’s committed to actually training to win. That makes me believe Browne is ready to get back to winning fights in the heavyweight division. I have Travis Browne by TKO round 1 in this one. *Author’s Note: In his post fight speech he is going to announce that Ronda Rousey is pregnant and retiring from MMA.*
As you know, I only give you picks for fights that I consider worth watching and that actually matter. You also likely know that I no longer bet. That will all change if the Jim Miller line stays where it is.
Don’t forget to tune into the White Belt Breakdown podcast and open up your calendars for plenty of podcast discussions during the next 3 weeks as we prepare for the UFC Super Bowl that is UFC 214.